When lightweight winner Rafael dos Anjos pulled out of his next title defense against Connor McGregor 12 days before the series, the UFC had options galore.
You see, in the same way the featherweight kingpin will tell you, any card headlined by the Dubliner will be a profitable bonanza. The promotion first offered the fight to Jose Aldo and Frankie Edgar, but answered the call.
Edgar was coping with a groin injury that had prevented him from training for the many previous weeks, while Aldo’s coach said he wasn’t in good enough shape conditioning-wise to select the fight on this short notice.
Former 155-pound champ Anthony Pettis was just one fighter volunteering his services, linking the likes of Urijah Faber and Donald’Cowboy’ Cerrone. Even B.J. Penn wanted a shot at McGregor.
Nate Diaz was more than prepared when contacted by the UFC. Dana White let the rumors to hang in the air for several hours before determining that the attention from fans was best to get a Diaz-McGregor showdown.
McGregor had informed the UFC he would fight anyone on the roster at any given weight. When Diaz’s camp indicated that getting down to 155 on brief note was too much, the UFC countered using a catchweight offer of 160 lbs. Diaz countered with 165.
Whenever the UFC called’The Notorious,”’ he said let’s just do it at 170. Thus, tonight’s key event for UFC 196 in the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas is a five-rounder contested at welterweight. McGregor, the 145-pound champ, is moving up two weight classes.
Advertisement Most novels opened McGregor (19-2 MMA, 7-0 UFC) at around -300, but the chances have become more expensive with each passing day. As of Thursday afternoon, most spots had McGregor preferred in the -450 to -500 range. Diaz was around +380 about the comeback (risk $100 to win $380).
Now that we’ve arrived at fight day, most spots have McGregor in -500 or higher. The very best payout for Diaz overseas is at 5Dimes, which includes him +425.
The total for’over/under’ wagers is 2.5 rounds (-200 to the’under,’ +165’over’). For all those gamblers wanting to shave some of the’chalk’ yet still back McGregor, the prop for him to win within the space doesn’t offer you much help (-278 in 5Dimes).
If you would like to take McGregor’s information he’ll dust Diaz from the opening round, that prop offers a +170 return. If you believe the pride of Ireland will make quick work of Diaz, much like his 13-second demolition of Aldo, there’s a prop at 5Dimes that the fight will not go 1:01 that offers a lucrative +550 yield.
For McGregor to acquire by TKO/KO (in any round), the price is -275 (danger $275 to win $100). We ought to notice that Diaz hasn’t been completed in the first round in 28 professional spells.
In fact, Diaz (18-10 MMA, 13-8 UFC) has only been finished twice. He had been filed by Hermes Franca at WEC 24 at the next round, and the 209 product suffered his only career TKO loss to Josh’The Punk’ Thomson at the next round of their April 2013 showdown. (Diaz’s corner threw in the towel)
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